Patrick Mahomes was the 2018 NFL league MVP. In 2019 he was the Super Bowl 54 MVP. After a 50 year championship drought, are the Kansas City Chiefs primed to be the NFL's next dynasty?
Shortly after the Kansas City Chiefs left the field on Sunday as the Super Bowl champions, defensive tackle Chris Jones guaranteed reporters the Chiefs would be back in the Super Bowl next season. Kansas City has been beyond good for the last two seasons, and there is a very real possibility that they could be back in the big game again. But, the notion that they're the next dynasty of the NFL is a little premature. The only team that has been able to maintain a dynasty in the modern NFL is the New England Patriots, and they will be the last, not because the Chiefs aren't a good team, but because the NFL is structured in a way that dynasties aren't supposed to exist.
The moment the rumors broke last week that the Chiefs were prepared to give Mahomes a contract worth $40 million per season, I knew that any illusion that the Chiefs will be a dynasty was extinguished. That's not saying they won't be competitive. Patrick Mahomes is good enough to put a team on his back and win a game. But, $40 million is a good chunk of money and surrounding him with the right weapons will become increasingly more difficult for Kansas City General Manager Brett Veach.
One of the reasons the Patriots were able to field a competitive team for the good part of 20 years was Tom Brady's willingness to sign contracts that were much lower than his actual market value. Unfortunately Patrick Mahomes doesn't have a wife who's net value is over $300 million, so I don't know how willing Mahomes will be to take significant pay cuts just to keep the Chiefs competitive.
As much as Mahomes has been given all the credit for his team winning the Super Bowl, it's important to remember how well the Chiefs defense played down the stretch. One thing the Patriots proved for years is that you can't win championships with pedestrian defenses. Super Bowl 52 is the perfect example. Tom Brady set Super Bowl records, and the Patriots still lost the game because the defense wasn't able to stop the Philadelphia Eagles backup Nick Foles.
For three quarters on Sunday night Mahomes looked ok, but he didn't look like vintage Mahomes. The Chiefs defense was able to keep the game within 10 points and made a huge stop after a second Mahomes interception. If you spend all your money on offense then the defense suffers and vice versa. Sustainability is an issue in the NFL, even with the salary cap gradually increasing. Roger Goodell doesn't want another New England Patriots, and unfortunately the Chiefs seem ready to grant his wish with Mahomes upcoming contract.
For Kansas City Chiefs fans who are upset by this blog, I'm not looking down on your championship and I think Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL, that doesn't mean you're set to be dynasty. The Chiefs have a very good chance to win back to back championships, but it will become increasingly more difficult after that. All you have to do is look around the league at some of the great quarterbacks that have one or no championships. I'd also like to remind you that there was once a time that Tom Brady was the wonder boy of the NFL, things change in the sports landscape, it's a part of life.
One thing that won’t change is the NFL’s desire to eliminate dynasties, and unless Patrick Mahomes is willing to make a lot less money, it’s not going to happen for Kansas City. Oh, and don’t think just because you’re a Super Bowl champion that star players are willing to take a paycut just to play for you, as I tell Patriots fans all the time, it doesn't work that way.
Chiefs Kingdom, stop thinking about dynasties and just enjoy your Super Bowl, because it may be the only one your team ever wins in your lifetime. The last thing you want to do is not savor the moment because you’re too busy thinking about a hypothetical future that won’t come true.